Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway [Book] - Image 1

Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway [Book]

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In Future Babble, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner presents landmark research debunking the whole expert prediction industry and explores our obsession with the future.In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; it then plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would be the world’s fastest-growing economy by 2000; by 2000, the USSR no longer existed. The truth is that experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys.